Feature Article>TRY: A New Mindset for
New Investors Part 1
By Lloyd Vermont, Contributor
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In this essay, we take a brief look at the basic
principle, strategies and nuances that drive the stock market in general
and individual portfolios in particular. At the core of this principle
is the concept that, while you are still working, you should put some
of your income to work for you in instruments other than savings accounts.
The idea is to build up a pool of funds into which you can tap for whatever
good reason you can identity including your own years in retirement. In
investing, as in other disciplines, knowledge is power.
If, as a member of the Caribbean Diaspora, you are new to investing,
or you are planning to become one, you need to cultivate a new mindset
(from the one in popular circulation) if you are to set the stage for
your own success. This means that you must avoid the herd mentality of
many investors who sometimes demonstrate and act counter to what is indicated
if you use the lessons of many investing conventions as a guide. In particular,
there are three unquestioned realities that you should grasp. One is that
the stock market, like the seasons, comes in cycles. The coming and going
of this cycle is not as predictable as the seasons but its ebb and flow
is a fact of the investment landscape. The second reality that you should
learn to appreciate is the wealth building capacity of time, as measured
in decades. Thirdly, as a new or intending investor, you should enter
the market with a long-term perspective. This means that you should realize
that successful investing is a process and not a nine-day event. To the
extent that you grasp these three realities, is the extent to which you
will be able to better manage your emotions and mood swings as an investor.
This is so because; these three realities will give you a rational perspective
within which to make decisions instead of reacting to the herd mentality
of others.
The field of investing, however, is a massive and complicated one. Saying
that it helps if you have some knowledge about it, and how it works, does
not mean that you need be an expert. It is somewhat like dealing with
what the medical industry calls lifestyle diseases i.e. diabetes, hypertension,
renal failure. Our doctors are now telling us that, with the appropriate
lifestyle patterns, or changes, we can avoid, or significantly minimize,
the effects of these diseases on the quality of our life. And these commentaries
we understand, and implement, without ourselves being experts like our
doctor. Its roughly the same with investing in the stock market.
You can do well if you understand the basic principle and operations strategies.
If you understand how your pay slip is made up, you will understand the
principle and strategies of successful investing.
BASIC PRINCIPLE OF INVESTING
A principle is the underlying law or assumption that causes something
to work in a roughly predictable way. In respect of stock market investing,
you could say that the basic principle is that, over time, the price of
a good or service is likely to (not will) go up, even though this will
not necessarily be in a straight line. Real estate is an illustration
of this and which is familiar to most everyone. This means, that anyone
who owns these goods and services are likely, again over time, to find
their value in these goods and services going up.
The stock market, however, is a creature of many moods and emotions.
It is not a precise science. Sometimes it will go off track even if no
two investors will agree on the cause (since, maybe, neither of them really
knows). Because of this, and despite the overwhelming evidence from financial
researchers and legendary investors, many members of the Diaspora continue
to involuntarily exclude themselves from its wealth building capacity.
Maybe they do because; all their recall is filled with the losses of what
the trade calls a bear market (one in which stock prices are consistently
falling, or staying low, over a period of many months or years). If however,
your investment mindset is built around the above three realities (business
cycle, time as measured in decades and your own long term investment horizon)
bear markets will take on a completely different image to you. You will
not necessarily shout for joy about it because, low prices will impact
you negatively if you are forced to sell. You will however see opportunities
to build up your portfolio at basement bargain prices that you will not
get at any other time!
CONDITIONS PRECEDENT
When your first child is to leave home on an extended basis for the first
time (first day at kindergarten, for example) you are going to be worried
and even afraid for his safety. Because of this, you will go to great
lengths to prepare him, and yourself, for this major departure from what
used to be the norm. This is pretty much the same fear and anxiety that
you could experience when you take the decision to become an investor.
This fear and anxiety is normal! We are all apprehensive about things
that we either do not understand or know about. The answer is not to remain
in your apprehension but to take the bull by the horn and work through
the fear.
As a new, or intending investor, there are some things that you should
do to prepare yourself emotionally, pretty much in the same way, and for
the same reasons, that you prepared your child for his first day at school.
The preparation calms his nerves and gives him confidence to deal with
the challenges of his new environment. In going off to school, he knows
that you are not abandoning him. Same with you as a new investor. Some
of the actions that will give you confidence in your investing and allay
your fears of loss of your principal are:
1. Define a reason for becoming an investor
2. Come to grips with the three realities discussed on page 1
3. Pay off all short term debts which are generally very expensive
4. Arrange access to some cash or near cash to draw on in the event of
an emergency that requires some cash
5. Register in a free online service to build your investing knowledge
base
6. Discuss what you want to do, and achieve, with a stockbroker or financial
advisor, either or both of whom are recommended to you
This completes the core of our discussion on preparing yourself to
become a stock market investor. In Parts 2 & 3 of this Essay we will
look at some of the strategies that you should employ to help ensure that
your chances of success are much better than just even.
The Financial Gleaner
The Financial Gleaner
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